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Red112
24554.2
552522.9
776953.6
Blue143
233761.9
353866.5
785611.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13815350100200250112143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#2
54.20.4
54.654.2
Auto15.0
Teleop30.9
End7.8
blue by 12.3
66.50.0
67.167.2
Auto17.7
Teleop38.4
End10.0
Second
53.60.4
54.153.6
Auto11.9
Teleop32.0
End9.8
blue by 8.3
61.90.0
62.662.6
Auto15.1
Teleop38.8
End7.9
Third
5525
#27
22.90.4
23.322.9
Auto4.4
Teleop12.0
End6.5
red by 11.5
7856
#36
11.40.0
12.012.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End5.0