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Red122
46945.1
719224.7
21750.8
Blue128
654836.4
438428.8
118831.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13394406080120160180200122128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#5
50.80.0
50.650.6
Auto11.4
Teleop30.0
End8.8
red by 14.4
6548
#10
36.40.8
35.035.8
Auto8.5
Teleop19.9
End8.0
Second
469
#8
45.10.0
44.945.0
Auto12.6
Teleop24.1
End8.6
red by 13.3
1188
#12
31.80.8
30.431.2
Auto9.0
Teleop13.9
End8.9
Third
7192
#29
24.70.0
24.524.6
Auto6.6
Teleop12.5
End5.8
blue by 4.1
4384
#33
28.80.8
27.428.2
Auto5.5
Teleop17.0
End6.4