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Red95
656619.1
285135.5
485119.7
Blue126
566043.4
353440.4
505331.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721272040608010014016018095126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2851
#18
35.50.1
35.635.5
Auto10.8
Teleop19.4
End5.4
blue by 7.9
43.40.3
42.542.8
Auto9.9
Teleop27.0
End6.6
Second
4851
#14
19.70.1
19.819.7
Auto6.8
Teleop6.6
End6.4
blue by 20.7
3534
#11
40.40.3
39.639.9
Auto11.8
Teleop19.9
End8.8
Third
6566
#15
19.10.1
19.219.1
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End3.9
blue by 12.3
5053
#23
31.30.3
30.430.7
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End6.4