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Red114
81838.5
920514.6
6762.9
Blue102
22643.9
543642.8
86238.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105794060120140160114102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
62.91.2
53.054.3
Auto19.7
Teleop33.8
End8.7
red by 19.0
226
#4
43.91.7
31.132.8
Auto11.9
Teleop22.2
End9.8
Second
818
#12
38.52.1
28.030.0
Auto11.8
Teleop21.0
End5.7
blue by 4.3
42.81.7
31.433.1
Auto10.2
Teleop25.8
End6.7
Third
9205
#23
14.62.1
14.316.4
Auto2.7
Teleop7.7
End4.1
red by 6.5
8623
#40
8.12.8
14.617.3
Auto2.6
Teleop0.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsEarned