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Red46
46941.3
724714.6
615232.7
Blue115
171856.6
549828.0
118826.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7410220406012014016046115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#7
41.31.8
37.035.2
Auto10.6
Teleop22.0
End8.6
blue by 15.4
56.61.5
46.247.7
Auto14.3
Teleop33.6
End8.3
Second
6152
#26
32.73.0
23.620.6
Auto11.2
Teleop14.8
End6.6
red by 4.6
5498
#20
28.01.5
20.121.6
Auto7.5
Teleop15.7
End4.9
Third
7247
#35
14.61.8
12.810.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.2
End4.3
blue by 11.9
1188
#15
26.62.5
26.328.8
Auto7.3
Teleop8.9
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
68%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsEarned