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Red115
21744.9
118826.6
81838.5
Blue132
724714.6
811523.1
171856.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10877204060100120140160115132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#13
44.90.8
39.039.8
Auto10.6
Teleop25.8
End8.1
blue by 11.7
56.62.4
47.750.0
Auto14.3
Teleop33.6
End8.3
Second
818
#12
38.51.4
30.031.4
Auto11.8
Teleop21.0
End5.7
red by 15.4
8115
#37
23.13.9
18.021.9
Auto5.9
Teleop13.2
End3.8
Third
1188
#15
26.61.4
28.830.1
Auto7.3
Teleop8.9
End10.4
red by 11.9
7247
#35
14.62.4
10.913.3
Auto4.1
Teleop6.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsEarned