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Red33
46941.3
920412.9
86238.1
Blue86
922632.2
6839.9
88268.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions717140506080901003386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#7
41.32.3
35.232.9
Auto10.6
Teleop22.0
End8.6
red by 1.3
68
#5
39.91.3
30.431.8
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End9.3
Second
9204
#38
12.92.3
15.312.9
Auto4.7
Teleop2.2
End6.0
blue by 19.2
9226
#19
32.21.3
21.723.0
Auto8.9
Teleop16.6
End6.7
Third
8623
#40
8.13.9
17.313.5
Auto2.6
Teleop0.8
End4.8
blue by 0.5
8826
#36
8.62.2
13.716.0
Auto1.0
Teleop4.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsMissed41%Activation oddsEarned