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Red135
922632.2
22643.9
296045.9
Blue111
608919.3
57342.5
46941.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1281066080120140160180200135111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.90.3
44.344.6
Auto11.5
Teleop26.3
End7.9
red by 3.4
573
#6
42.50.2
42.342.5
Auto12.6
Teleop22.6
End7.3
Second
226
#4
43.90.3
42.342.6
Auto11.9
Teleop22.2
End9.8
red by 2.6
469
#7
41.30.2
41.141.3
Auto10.6
Teleop22.0
End8.6
Third
9226
#19
32.20.3
30.630.8
Auto8.9
Teleop16.6
End6.7
red by 12.8
6089
#22
19.30.2
19.119.3
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End3.5