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Red124
20128.7
6839.9
81838.5
Blue116
125036.3
477636.7
549828.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141066080140160180124116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#5
39.90.4
39.640.0
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End9.3
red by 3.2
4776
#10
36.70.2
36.536.7
Auto8.5
Teleop19.3
End9.0
Second
818
#12
38.50.4
38.138.5
Auto11.8
Teleop21.0
End5.7
red by 2.2
1250
#11
36.30.3
36.136.3
Auto12.6
Teleop17.0
End6.7
Third
201
#24
28.70.4
28.328.7
Auto7.4
Teleop13.9
End7.4
red by 0.6
5498
#20
28.00.2
27.828.0
Auto7.5
Teleop15.7
End4.9