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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6858010015020025030035040010872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.73.0
32.035.0
Auto13.2
Teleop24.2
End5.2
red by 10.2
3618
#13
32.51.1
24.825.9
Auto7.9
Teleop19.4
End5.1
Second
2246
#20
21.03.0
21.824.9
Auto8.7
Teleop7.4
End4.9
blue by 5.2
5110
#17
26.21.1
15.016.1
Auto7.6
Teleop11.0
End7.7
Third
6091
#31
13.73.4
8.812.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.2
End6.8
blue by 3.7
7808
#27
17.41.8
16.117.9
Auto6.5
Teleop4.9
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsEarned21%Activation oddsEarned