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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94330501509486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.70.9
36.737.6
Auto11.5
Teleop28.2
End7.9
red by 24.2
7794
#12
23.61.7
13.314.9
Auto6.1
Teleop9.3
End8.2
Second
26.00.9
20.921.8
Auto7.8
Teleop12.5
End5.7
red by 7.5
4376
#34
18.51.7
14.115.8
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End3.6
Third
6087
#22
20.71.5
22.824.3
Auto8.1
Teleop10.7
End1.9
red by 10.4
5183
#38
10.31.7
11.513.2
Auto1.7
Teleop5.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsEarned