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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6080020401001201404465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.31.0
27.526.5
Auto8.5
Teleop16.5
End8.4
blue by 12.8
46.10.5
37.537.0
Auto14.2
Teleop24.0
End7.9
Second
8041
#24
16.51.6
17.115.5
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End4.3
blue by 3.8
6097
#25
20.30.8
20.820.0
Auto5.3
Teleop9.4
End5.7
Third
5562
#36
14.11.0
14.113.2
Auto4.4
Teleop3.9
End5.8
red by 3.9
8611
#33
10.20.5
14.013.6
Auto0.9
Teleop6.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsMissed32%Activation oddsMissed