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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61632040801001206481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7244
#14
27.20.4
20.521.0
Auto9.6
Teleop9.8
End7.8
blue by 6.2
7790
#15
33.41.1
28.729.9
Auto11.3
Teleop15.6
End6.5
Second
26.00.4
21.822.2
Auto7.8
Teleop12.5
End5.7
blue by 0.2
5110
#17
26.21.1
16.117.2
Auto7.6
Teleop11.0
End7.7
Third
5247
#18
20.30.4
15.315.8
Auto5.6
Teleop8.4
End6.3
red by 3.3
7155
#23
17.01.1
14.115.3
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsMissed