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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions948605015020025091123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4377
#28
38.80.2
34.134.4
Auto10.4
Teleop23.4
End5.1
red by 3.4
5086
#19
35.50.3
31.230.9
Auto8.7
Teleop19.4
End7.4
Second
38.30.2
29.029.2
Auto12.8
Teleop17.7
End7.8
red by 5.9
3618
#13
32.50.3
25.925.6
Auto7.9
Teleop19.4
End5.1
Third
3537
#29
27.60.4
24.324.7
Auto2.1
Teleop20.7
End4.8
red by 6.9
6087
#22
20.70.5
24.323.9
Auto8.1
Teleop10.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsEarned