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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8944010015011448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#9
39.72.4
36.939.4
Auto13.6
Teleop21.0
End5.2
red by 15.0
9176
#30
24.70.4
16.716.3
Auto5.8
Teleop12.5
End6.4
Second
37.72.4
24.927.4
Auto11.2
Teleop18.5
End8.1
red by 20.3
7808
#27
17.40.4
17.917.5
Auto6.5
Teleop4.9
End6.0
Third
4376
#34
18.52.4
15.818.2
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End3.6
red by 4.8
6091
#31
13.70.3
12.211.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.2
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned36%Activation oddsMissed