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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8262020401001201401606656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.70.9
37.636.7
Auto11.5
Teleop28.2
End7.9
red by 25.2
6963
#21
22.60.5
16.415.9
Auto6.7
Teleop10.0
End5.9
Second
9176
#30
24.71.5
16.314.8
Auto5.8
Teleop12.5
End6.4
red by 3.7
2246
#20
21.00.3
25.525.2
Auto8.7
Teleop7.4
End4.9
Third
5501
#37
15.91.5
20.218.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End5.7
blue by 4.9
6122
#32
20.70.3
18.818.5
Auto5.5
Teleop10.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned17%Activation oddsMissed