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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions999140608012014016018012890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.72.1
34.836.9
Auto13.2
Teleop24.2
End5.2
red by 3.9
4377
#28
38.80.3
34.434.6
Auto10.4
Teleop23.4
End5.1
Second
37.72.1
27.429.4
Auto11.2
Teleop18.5
End8.1
red by 2.3
5086
#19
35.50.3
30.931.2
Auto8.7
Teleop19.4
End7.4
Third
7790
#15
33.42.1
29.931.9
Auto11.3
Teleop15.6
End6.5
red by 5.3
5534
#16
28.10.3
20.921.2
Auto9.5
Teleop14.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsMissed