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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8762020408010012014010969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.71.7
36.938.6
Auto13.2
Teleop24.2
End5.2
red by 9.4
7790
#15
33.40.2
31.931.8
Auto11.3
Teleop15.6
End6.5
Second
33.31.7
23.425.1
Auto8.5
Teleop16.5
End8.4
red by 12.6
6087
#22
20.70.3
18.618.4
Auto8.1
Teleop10.7
End1.9
Third
7808
#27
17.42.8
18.421.2
Auto6.5
Teleop4.9
End6.0
red by 3.3
5562
#36
14.10.2
11.010.8
Auto4.4
Teleop3.9
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsMissed