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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1058860801001201401609285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.10.3
38.738.4
Auto14.2
Teleop24.0
End7.9
red by 8.4
37.70.0
29.429.5
Auto11.2
Teleop18.5
End8.1
Second
35.00.3
32.732.4
Auto8.0
Teleop16.9
End10.2
blue by 0.4
5086
#19
35.50.0
31.231.2
Auto8.7
Teleop19.4
End7.4
Third
2246
#20
21.00.3
25.224.9
Auto8.7
Teleop7.4
End4.9
blue by 5.0
26.00.0
23.923.9
Auto7.8
Teleop12.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsEarned