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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53582040801007076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.71.3
29.530.8
Auto11.2
Teleop18.5
End8.1
red by 11.5
5110
#17
26.20.2
17.617.8
Auto7.6
Teleop11.0
End7.7
Second
5562
#36
14.11.3
10.812.1
Auto4.4
Teleop3.9
End5.8
blue by 6.6
6087
#22
20.70.3
18.418.6
Auto8.1
Teleop10.7
End1.9
Third
8611
#33
10.21.3
10.411.7
Auto0.9
Teleop6.0
End3.3
blue by 8.3
4376
#34
18.50.2
17.817.9
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
19%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsMissed