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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions866620408010012014011544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.12.1
38.440.5
Auto14.2
Teleop24.0
End7.9
red by 15.6
5560
#11
30.61.7
29.728.0
Auto5.8
Teleop16.3
End8.5
Second
7244
#14
27.22.1
24.626.7
Auto9.6
Teleop9.8
End7.8
red by 9.8
7808
#27
17.42.8
21.218.4
Auto6.5
Teleop4.9
End6.0
Third
5501
#37
15.93.5
15.118.7
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End5.7
red by 5.6
5183
#38
10.31.7
13.311.6
Auto1.7
Teleop5.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsMissed