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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577301001502002503005678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.70.0
24.924.9
Auto11.2
Teleop18.5
End8.1
blue by 1.1
4377
#28
38.80.8
33.334.1
Auto10.4
Teleop23.4
End5.1
Second
9176
#30
24.727.0
43.716.7
Auto5.8
Teleop12.5
End6.4
red by 4.4
6097
#25
20.31.3
19.520.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.4
End5.7
Third
7155
#23
17.00.0
14.114.1
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End6.0
red by 2.9
5562
#36
14.10.8
13.414.1
Auto4.4
Teleop3.9
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsMissed