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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10145015011561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.11.5
36.037.5
Auto14.2
Teleop24.0
End7.9
red by 15.8
4398
#10
30.31.3
15.917.2
Auto7.7
Teleop14.3
End8.4
Second
5086
#19
35.51.5
29.731.2
Auto8.7
Teleop19.4
End7.4
red by 15.2
5247
#18
20.30.8
14.615.3
Auto5.6
Teleop8.4
End6.3
Third
3537
#29
27.62.5
21.824.3
Auto2.1
Teleop20.7
End4.8
red by 11.7
5501
#37
15.91.3
19.020.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsMissed27%Activation oddsEarned