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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67510204060801001207049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5086
#19
35.50.6
30.631.2
Auto8.7
Teleop19.4
End7.4
red by 7.4
5534
#16
28.10.0
26.626.6
Auto9.5
Teleop14.1
End4.5
Second
6122
#32
20.70.6
18.018.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.7
End4.5
red by 6.6
5562
#36
14.10.0
11.311.2
Auto4.4
Teleop3.9
End5.8
Third
8611
#33
10.20.6
12.212.8
Auto0.9
Teleop6.0
End3.3
blue by 0.1
5183
#38
10.30.0
11.611.6
Auto1.7
Teleop5.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
14%Activation oddsMissed29%Activation oddsMissed