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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78132501001502008273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.1
31.731.8
Auto8.0
Teleop16.9
End10.2
blue by 7.7
42.72.9
44.541.6
Auto13.2
Teleop24.2
End5.2
Second
33.30.1
28.728.8
Auto8.5
Teleop16.5
End8.4
blue by 6.4
910
#9
39.72.9
43.340.3
Auto13.6
Teleop21.0
End5.2
Third
5110
#17
26.20.1
20.020.2
Auto7.6
Teleop11.0
End7.7
blue by 4.1
4398
#10
30.34.5
29.024.4
Auto7.7
Teleop14.3
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsMissed