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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions797002040601001201401607056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3537
#29
27.60.3
25.925.6
Auto2.1
Teleop20.7
End4.8
blue by 0.5
5534
#16
28.10.7
27.026.2
Auto9.5
Teleop14.1
End4.5
Second
26.00.2
23.623.4
Auto7.8
Teleop12.5
End5.7
red by 1.4
6121
#26
24.61.0
22.121.0
Auto7.1
Teleop11.9
End5.5
Third
9176
#30
24.70.3
23.823.5
Auto5.8
Teleop12.5
End6.4
red by 7.7
7155
#23
17.00.7
17.817.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsMissed