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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5598020408012014016060121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3537
#29
27.60.3
25.625.8
Auto2.1
Teleop20.7
End4.8
blue by 18.6
46.12.0
43.045.0
Auto14.2
Teleop24.0
End7.9
Second
6087
#22
20.70.3
21.021.3
Auto8.1
Teleop10.7
End1.9
blue by 4.0
9176
#30
24.72.6
23.526.2
Auto5.8
Teleop12.5
End6.4
Third
5183
#38
10.30.2
10.410.6
Auto1.7
Teleop5.0
End3.5
blue by 12.3
6963
#21
22.62.6
19.722.4
Auto6.7
Teleop10.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
12%Activation oddsMissed56%Activation oddsEarned