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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75902040601001201405588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.71.1
42.741.5
Auto13.2
Teleop24.2
End5.2
red by 4.4
38.30.4
34.234.6
Auto12.8
Teleop17.7
End7.8
Second
8041
#24
16.51.5
18.517.0
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End4.3
blue by 13.8
4398
#10
30.30.5
26.627.1
Auto7.7
Teleop14.3
End8.4
Third
8611
#33
10.21.1
10.89.7
Auto0.9
Teleop6.0
End3.3
blue by 10.2
6097
#25
20.30.5
21.922.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
34%Activation oddsMissed60%Activation oddsEarned