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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions618420401001201406299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7244
#14
27.20.1
29.629.8
Auto9.6
Teleop9.8
End7.8
blue by 11.7
4377
#28
38.81.2
34.535.7
Auto10.4
Teleop23.4
End5.1
Second
6122
#32
20.70.1
19.019.2
Auto5.5
Teleop10.7
End4.5
blue by 5.5
5110
#17
26.21.2
20.221.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.0
End7.7
Third
5562
#36
14.10.1
11.211.3
Auto4.4
Teleop3.9
End5.8
blue by 6.9
2246
#20
21.01.2
21.522.7
Auto8.7
Teleop7.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsEarned