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Red148
609427.0
49458.9
7050.6
Blue143
2755.4
335761.0
485523.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144149100200250148143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
58.90.3
58.859.0
Auto16.5
Teleop33.8
End8.2
blue by 2.1
61.00.1
60.860.9
Auto16.5
Teleop34.2
End10.1
Second
70
#10
50.60.3
50.450.7
Auto14.2
Teleop28.0
End8.1
blue by 4.8
27
#4
55.40.1
55.255.3
Auto15.9
Teleop30.2
End9.3
Third
6094
#15
27.00.3
26.927.2
Auto6.2
Teleop13.2
End7.6
red by 3.5
4855
#24
23.50.1
23.423.4
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End6.1