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Red135
609427.0
49458.9
7050.6
Blue153
2755.4
335761.0
485523.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14514980100120160180200220240135153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
58.90.1
59.058.9
Auto16.5
Teleop33.8
End8.2
blue by 2.1
61.00.1
60.961.0
Auto16.5
Teleop34.2
End10.1
Second
70
#10
50.60.1
50.750.6
Auto14.2
Teleop28.0
End8.1
blue by 4.8
27
#4
55.40.1
55.355.4
Auto15.9
Teleop30.2
End9.3
Third
6094
#15
27.00.1
27.227.0
Auto6.2
Teleop13.2
End7.6
red by 3.5
4855
#24
23.50.1
23.423.5
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End6.1