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Red99
205450.1
524819.5
295930.2
Blue50
924818.1
92069.9
561019.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions954801509950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.10.7
41.542.2
Auto12.2
Teleop31.2
End6.3
red by 30.4
5610
#38
19.70.1
19.219.1
Auto5.8
Teleop9.7
End4.2
Second
2959
#19
30.20.7
23.324.0
Auto9.8
Teleop15.6
End4.7
red by 12.1
9248
#28
18.10.1
13.513.4
Auto7.4
Teleop7.7
End3.0
Third
5248
#30
19.50.7
18.719.4
Auto5.9
Teleop8.8
End4.8
red by 9.6
9206
#39
9.90.1
18.518.4
Auto2.4
Teleop5.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsMissed19%Activation oddsMissed