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Red129
570225.8
323431.8
49458.9
Blue109
191840.9
546239.8
611422.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1019050150129109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
58.92.4
47.750.0
Auto16.5
Teleop33.8
End8.2
red by 17.9
1918
#27
40.91.5
37.939.4
Auto13.8
Teleop19.3
End7.9
Second
3234
#18
31.82.4
25.628.0
Auto11.9
Teleop11.3
End8.6
blue by 8.0
5462
#11
39.81.5
29.831.4
Auto12.0
Teleop20.4
End7.1
Third
5702
#26
25.82.4
20.022.4
Auto7.6
Teleop15.8
End2.4
red by 3.7
6114
#36
22.02.5
18.420.9
Auto3.5
Teleop13.6
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned