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Red101
323431.8
556728.1
687730.5
Blue116
205450.1
515023.3
10744.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82106204060120140160101116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3234
#18
31.81.4
26.728.1
Auto11.9
Teleop11.3
End8.6
blue by 18.4
50.11.3
44.445.7
Auto12.2
Teleop31.2
End6.3
Second
6877
#12
30.51.4
27.929.3
Auto8.4
Teleop13.6
End8.6
blue by 13.7
107
#9
44.22.2
31.233.4
Auto11.4
Teleop23.5
End9.3
Third
5567
#34
28.11.4
25.126.5
Auto11.1
Teleop11.9
End5.1
red by 4.8
5150
#25
23.31.3
20.822.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.7
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsEarned