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Red113
546239.8
592728.7
570225.8
Blue85
92069.9
7445.3
295930.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9091708010011012011385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5462
#11
39.81.2
33.234.4
Auto12.0
Teleop20.4
End7.1
blue by 5.5
74
#7
45.30.0
42.942.8
Auto13.2
Teleop24.0
End7.8
Second
5927
#13
28.71.2
26.928.1
Auto7.8
Teleop15.1
End5.5
blue by 1.5
2959
#19
30.20.0
26.526.5
Auto9.8
Teleop15.6
End4.7
Third
5702
#26
25.81.2
24.625.9
Auto7.6
Teleop15.8
End2.4
red by 15.8
9206
#39
9.90.1
16.116.1
Auto2.4
Teleop5.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed45%Activation oddsMissed