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Red83
547016.3
546239.8
561019.7
Blue102
687730.5
861222.4
609043.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7498406012014016083102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5462
#11
39.80.4
38.639.0
Auto12.0
Teleop20.4
End7.1
blue by 3.4
43.11.2
41.142.3
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End7.0
Second
5610
#38
19.70.4
20.320.7
Auto5.8
Teleop9.7
End4.2
blue by 10.8
6877
#12
30.50.8
28.629.5
Auto8.4
Teleop13.6
End8.6
Third
5470
#32
16.30.4
13.513.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End4.3
blue by 6.1
8612
#22
22.40.8
19.620.5
Auto8.3
Teleop8.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed75%Activation oddsEarned