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Red115
612829.9
924818.1
10744.2
Blue94
515023.3
611422.0
102535.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9186608010012014011594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#9
44.22.9
39.442.3
Auto11.4
Teleop23.5
End9.3
red by 8.7
1025
#21
35.50.9
37.438.3
Auto10.9
Teleop18.0
End6.5
Second
6128
#14
29.92.0
29.331.3
Auto7.4
Teleop14.7
End7.9
red by 6.6
5150
#25
23.30.9
25.025.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.7
End6.9
Third
9248
#28
18.12.0
16.318.3
Auto7.4
Teleop7.7
End3.0
blue by 3.9
6114
#36
22.01.3
18.720.0
Auto3.5
Teleop13.6
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsEarned