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Red117
400347.1
205450.1
598025.1
Blue119
612829.9
570225.8
335761.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311236080100140160180200117119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.10.3
49.949.6
Auto12.2
Teleop31.2
End6.3
blue by 10.9
61.00.1
61.461.6
Auto16.5
Teleop34.2
End10.1
Second
47.10.3
46.946.5
Auto12.0
Teleop27.3
End7.8
red by 17.1
6128
#14
29.90.1
29.729.9
Auto7.4
Teleop14.7
End7.9
Third
5980
#23
25.10.3
25.425.1
Auto7.5
Teleop10.3
End7.3
blue by 0.7
5702
#26
25.80.1
25.625.8
Auto7.6
Teleop15.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
37%Sustainability oddsEarned81%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned