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Red135
485523.5
335761.0
2755.4
Blue109
102535.5
592728.7
14130.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1618950100150200135109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.00.1
61.661.4
Auto16.5
Teleop34.2
End10.1
red by 25.5
1025
#21
35.50.4
34.635.0
Auto10.9
Teleop18.0
End6.5
Second
27
#4
55.40.1
56.055.8
Auto15.9
Teleop30.2
End9.3
red by 24.6
141
#17
30.70.4
29.930.2
Auto7.9
Teleop15.2
End7.7
Third
4855
#24
23.50.1
24.123.9
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End6.1
blue by 5.2
5927
#13
28.70.4
27.828.2
Auto7.8
Teleop15.1
End5.5