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Red111
485523.5
335761.0
2755.4
Blue147
7050.6
49458.9
609427.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151146100200250111147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.00.7
61.360.6
Auto16.5
Teleop34.2
End10.1
red by 2.1
494
#2
58.90.1
59.259.1
Auto16.5
Teleop33.8
End8.2
Second
27
#4
55.40.7
55.655.0
Auto15.9
Teleop30.2
End9.3
red by 4.8
70
#10
50.60.1
50.950.8
Auto14.2
Teleop28.0
End8.1
Third
4855
#24
23.50.7
23.823.1
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End6.1
blue by 3.5
6094
#15
27.00.1
27.327.2
Auto6.2
Teleop13.2
End7.6