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Red100
7445.3
609043.1
612829.9
Blue139
10744.2
323431.8
546239.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12912180100140160180100139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#7
45.30.4
45.745.3
Auto13.2
Teleop24.0
End7.8
red by 1.1
107
#9
44.20.4
43.844.3
Auto11.4
Teleop23.5
End9.3
Second
43.10.4
43.643.1
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End7.0
red by 3.4
5462
#11
39.80.4
39.439.8
Auto12.0
Teleop20.4
End7.1
Third
6128
#14
29.90.4
30.429.9
Auto7.4
Teleop14.7
End7.9
blue by 1.8
3234
#18
31.80.4
31.431.8
Auto11.9
Teleop11.3
End8.6