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Red146
485523.5
335761.0
2755.4
Blue118
10744.2
323431.8
546239.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1521196080100140160180200220146118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.00.2
60.660.8
Auto16.5
Teleop34.2
End10.1
red by 16.8
107
#9
44.20.1
44.344.2
Auto11.4
Teleop23.5
End9.3
Second
27
#4
55.40.2
55.055.1
Auto15.9
Teleop30.2
End9.3
red by 15.6
5462
#11
39.80.1
39.839.8
Auto12.0
Teleop20.4
End7.1
Third
4855
#24
23.50.2
23.123.3
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End6.1
blue by 8.3
3234
#18
31.80.1
31.831.8
Auto11.9
Teleop11.3
End8.6