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Red100
556728.9
84248.9
335744.3
Blue55
564120.3
90418.2
516724.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions907102040608010012014016010055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.31.2
43.644.8
Auto12.7
Teleop20.9
End9.7
red by 19.5
24.80.9
25.624.6
Auto11.5
Teleop8.6
End4.9
Second
28.91.2
28.129.3
Auto12.8
Teleop9.8
End6.3
red by 8.6
20.30.9
24.123.1
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End6.8
Third
8424
#11
8.91.2
10.111.3
Auto5.9
Teleop-1.4
End4.6
blue by 9.3
904
#9
18.20.9
19.618.6
Auto8.6
Teleop4.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsMissed