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Red87
716625.9
85823.2
550115.8
Blue26
387515.5
345214.4
496727.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766902040601008726

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.91.2
26.327.5
Auto6.4
Teleop15.9
End3.5
blue by 1.8
4967
#12
27.73.1
33.630.5
Auto6.5
Teleop15.8
End5.5
Second
858
#5
23.21.2
21.722.9
Auto5.4
Teleop12.2
End5.5
red by 7.7
3875
#10
15.53.1
19.616.5
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End3.6
Third
15.81.2
15.616.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End7.4
red by 1.4
14.43.1
19.216.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsMissed