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Red57
85823.2
556728.9
90418.2
Blue38
387515.5
564120.3
496727.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76744050606570805738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.9
29.328.4
Auto12.8
Teleop9.8
End6.3
red by 1.2
4967
#12
27.72.1
30.528.4
Auto6.5
Teleop15.8
End5.5
Second
858
#5
23.20.9
22.922.0
Auto5.4
Teleop12.2
End5.5
red by 2.9
20.32.1
23.121.0
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End6.8
Third
904
#9
18.20.9
18.617.7
Auto8.6
Teleop4.1
End5.5
red by 2.7
3875
#10
15.52.1
16.514.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed