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Red102
90418.2
556728.9
335744.3
Blue19
564120.3
84248.9
496727.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10157015010219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.30.3
43.844.1
Auto12.7
Teleop20.9
End9.7
red by 16.6
4967
#12
27.70.9
28.427.5
Auto6.5
Teleop15.8
End5.5
Second
28.90.3
28.428.7
Auto12.8
Teleop9.8
End6.3
red by 8.6
20.30.9
21.020.1
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End6.8
Third
904
#9
18.20.3
17.718.0
Auto8.6
Teleop4.1
End5.5
red by 9.3
8424
#11
8.90.9
9.68.7
Auto5.9
Teleop-1.4
End4.6