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Red64
550115.8
716625.9
345214.4
Blue94
85823.2
516724.8
387515.5
58%Model gave it42%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64602040801006494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.2
25.926.1
Auto6.4
Teleop15.9
End3.5
red by 1.1
24.80.8
23.624.4
Auto11.5
Teleop8.6
End4.9
Second
15.80.2
15.816.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End7.4
blue by 7.4
858
#5
23.20.8
22.022.8
Auto5.4
Teleop12.2
End5.5
Third
14.40.2
14.414.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End8.0
blue by 1.1
3875
#10
15.50.8
14.315.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End3.6