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Red85
90418.2
556728.9
335744.3
Blue76
85823.2
516724.8
387515.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102610501508576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.30.1
44.143.9
Auto12.7
Teleop20.9
End9.7
red by 19.5
24.80.3
24.424.7
Auto11.5
Teleop8.6
End4.9
Second
28.90.1
28.728.5
Auto12.8
Teleop9.8
End6.3
red by 5.7
858
#5
23.20.3
22.823.1
Auto5.4
Teleop12.2
End5.5
Third
904
#9
18.20.1
18.017.8
Auto8.6
Teleop4.1
End5.5
red by 2.7
3875
#10
15.50.3
15.115.4
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End3.6