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Red63
327645.0
423918.7
305824.2
Blue72
662816.5
851630.1
534842.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971100501502002503006372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.02.2
39.237.1
Auto7.6
Teleop35.9
End1.7
red by 2.9
42.22.6
46.343.7
Auto7.8
Teleop33.4
End0.5
Second
24.22.2
26.924.7
Auto7.2
Teleop16.0
End1.3
blue by 5.9
8516
#10
30.12.6
35.432.8
Auto6.2
Teleop22.9
End1.0
Third
4239
#16
18.72.2
29.327.2
Auto5.6
Teleop11.9
End1.3
red by 2.2
6628
#14
16.52.6
24.021.4
Auto2.2
Teleop12.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed20%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsMissed