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Red106
563842.4
302636.2
305824.2
Blue92
702838.5
706839.5
670917.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84795060709010011010692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.40.1
42.842.8
Auto9.0
Teleop31.9
End1.2
red by 2.9
39.50.2
39.739.5
Auto8.4
Teleop30.0
End1.0
Second
36.20.1
36.736.6
Auto8.0
Teleop27.4
End0.8
blue by 2.3
38.50.2
38.738.5
Auto9.6
Teleop27.7
End1.4
Third
24.20.1
24.724.6
Auto7.2
Teleop16.0
End1.3
red by 7.0
6709
#13
17.20.2
17.417.2
Auto3.8
Teleop14.6
End-1.0